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Published on: Cs

April 7, 1761

Anglican priest and mathematician Thomas Bayes, born in 1701 in London, dies. He pioneered a theory of Conditional Probability, demonstrating that probability theory can be extended to events whose outcomes are linked. This is why most so-called conspiracy theories are actually highly improbable. The misunderstanding lies in the confusion between the probability that a series of events will occur if it is the product of a massive conspiracy (high), and the probability that a massive conspiracy exists if a series of events occurs (very low). The Bayesian technique, although repeatedly forgotten after its discovery, will be used countless times in the future, for example for the real-time location updating and mapping of the environment in modern self-driving cars, or SLAM (Simultaneous Localization and Mapping).